Prediction Markets
I always thought that actions matter more than words. The ultimate expression of this idea is the stock market and, more recently, prediction markets (such as Polymarket). For example, you can bet on a wide variety of topics that stretch from who might win an election to how many tweets Elon Musk will post in a single day. Over the past few years, public trust in institutions and journalism has eroded [1], and this distrust has fueled the rise of new financial instruments like prediction markets. This data manipulation became clear during the last US election, where a big gap emerged between conventional polling data and the probabilities implied by market activity [2]. ...